With Your Help … We Can Win

It is always when election results are marginal that the effort put in by your supporters has the greatest impact on the result. Never has this been more likely in the history of UKIP than it is today, and this is particularly true across Dorset. 2013 put us in the best position to make an impact on the coming elections by breaking through the glass ceiling of electoral credibility in winning so many first-past-the-post elections. UKIP can make real progress, not just in May’s European Parliamentary elections, but in local and by-elections, and continuing to build on that momentum to win our first Westminster seats in the General Election to achieve our ultimate goal: out of the EU to get our country back.

We are in a position where we can be pretty sure that many seats could be won – or lost – by literally a handful of votes. The more effort our ‘troops’ put in to help bolster our vote, the more likely our candidates chances are to be on the right side of the winning line. It is essential that voters locally appreciate that UKIP are serious contenders, and for that to happen we need to work the patch.

Nothing beats eyeball-to-eyeball contact with local voters as a campaign method. Many people around here have told us no one has canvassed either recently, or in many cases at all. The reaction varies, but is always polite, even from Lib/Lab/Con voters. Face-to-face contact with voters shows that we are serious.

However, the primary object of canvassing is to identify your supporters. This is the most basic and essential voter mobilisation strategy of any serious party political organisation. To cover Dorset effectively, we need more deliverers, more canvassers, and more who can help in other ways such as joining/donating or simply allowing us to display an election poster. To do this, all that is needed is as we identify someone who will be voting UKIP, we then simply ask for a little help to get the message across.

A small North Dorset team of us have been meeting up as a ‘Hit Squadevery Thursday at 6pm to canvass an area, to identify supporters and asking them to help by delivering a small patch of say 100-150 local houses. Every session we have picked up an average of 2 or 3 new UKIP helpers. We now have most of Shaftesbury covered with over 20 new helpers, and having just started in Gillingham, have picked up 10 helpers in three days.

The more helpers we have across the county, the more fresh recruits we have been making. Once fully briefed, you can set to work in your local area. Full briefing/training as to what is involved will be provided, and you can either ‘shadow’ a local canvasser, until you see how easy it is and are confident to either join the team ‘leapfrog’-style, or are ready to canvass your area. To help please contact me at steve@steve-unwin.co.uk or your local UKIP branch Chairman or PPC. You can make a difference.

Ten Myths about the European Union and Britain

The following ten myths about the European Union and Britain as well as the reality of the situation in each case is set out below:

MYTH 1. Britain would lose out on 3 millions of jobs if we left the EU.

FACT: We buy more from the EU than we sell, over 4 million jobs in the EU depend on trade with the UK.  The UK is the biggest customer of the EU – we buy more than even the USA. In 2011 there was a UK trade deficit of £28 billions with the EU.

MYTH 2. Tariff barriers will exclude us from trade with the EU.

FACT: The EU has free trade agreements with 53 countries to overcome such tariffs, and is negotiating a further 74.  Even the Lisbon Treaty requires the EU to make a trade agreement with a nation that leaves the EU.

MYTH 3. Britain cannot survive economically outside the EU in a world of trading blocs.

FACT: Major economies such as Japan (the world’s third largest) are not in a trading bloc. Our best trading relationships are not within the EU, but outside, with countries like the USA and Switzerland.  The EU has been useless with our traditional trading partners – the Commonwealth with which the EU only has a free trade agreement with just one of the 53 other member states.

MYTH 4. The EU is moving towards the UK’s position on cutting regulation and bureaucracy.

FACT: The EU already has more control over how we are allowed to conduct our lives than our own elected Government and constantly seeks to increase it.  Once in place, EU directives are highly unlikely to be reformed or repealed. Less than 15% of Britain’s GDP represents trade with the EU yet Brussels regulations afflict 100% of our economy. In 2010, Open Europe estimated EU regulation had cost Britain £124 billion since 1998.

MYTH 5. If we leave, we’ll have to pay the EU billions and implement all its regulations without a say.

FACT: We have little say within the EU, and from 1st January 2014, the EU ended the requirement of unanimity for decisions by the Council of Ministers replaced by ‘qualified majority voting’. Now, we have only 8.4% of voting power in the EU. The UK would have more leverage as an independent sovereign nation and the world’s 6th largest economy. In 2009, Norway’s total financial contribution linked to their EEA (European Economic Area) agreement was some 340 million Euros per year, a tiny fraction of the gross annual cost that Britain must pay for EU membership – now £18.5 billion, or over £50 million a day

MYTH 6. The EU has brought peace to the European continent.

FACT: It is NATO, founded in 1949 and dominated by the USA, and not the EU, that has actually kept the peace in Europe, together with parliamentary democracy. Both are being undermined by the EU by unaccountable and unelected EU Commissioners and bureaucrats.

MYTH 7. The EU has a positive impact on the British economy.

FACT: ‘Free movement’ of cheap labour irrefutably leads to higher youth unemployment (we already have a million youth unemployed).  Industries like fishing, farming, postal services and manufacturing have been devastated by our membership of the EU which costs billions of pounds and large numbers of lost jobs thanks to red tape, substantial membership and aid contributions and other costs.  Small and medium sized businesses continue to be particularly badly affected by meddling EU regulations and directives.

MYTH 8. We’ll lose foreign investment if we leave the EU.

FACT: In a 2010 survey on UK’s attractiveness to foreign investors, Ernst and Young found Britain remained the top Foreign Direct Investment destination in Europe thanks to the City of London and the UK’s relationship with the US. The UK is the world’s 6th largest economy, 8th largest manufacturer, 5th largest trading nation, London is world’s largest financial centre, and the UK is the EU’s biggest client.

MYTH 9. We will lose influence in the world by being outside the EU

FACT: Britain has a substantial ‘portfolio of power’: membership of the G20 and G8 Nations, a permanent seat on the UN Security Council and seats on the International Monetary Fund Board of Governors and World Trade Organisation. We are at the heart of the 54-nation Commonwealth, and the world’s 5th biggest trading nation.

MYTH 10. Legally, we can’t leave the EU.

FACT: Britain could leave the EU in a single day by repealing the European Communities Act 1972 and its attendant Amendment Acts through a single clause Bill passing through Westminster. A replacement UK/EU Free Trade Agreement would not need time-consuming negotiation on tariff reductions if it merely replicated existing EU trade arrangements.  Only UKIP will do this, and return control of the British government to the British people.

Lies, Damn Lies, and Cast-Iron Guarantees

This was the 26th September 2007 text of David Cameron’s famous cast-iron guarantee for an EU Referendum published to Sun readers.

“The final reason we must have a vote is trust. Gordon Brown talks about “new” politics.  But there’s nothing “new” about breaking your promises to the British public. It’s classic Labour. And it is the cancer that is eating away at trust in politics.  Small wonder that so many people don’t believe a word politicians ever say if they break their promises so casually.  If you really want to signal you’re a break from the past, Prime Minister, do the right thing – give the people the referendum you promised.

“Today, I will give this cast-iron guarantee: If I become PM a Conservative government will hold a referendum on any EU treaty that emerges from these negotiations.  No treaty should be ratified without consulting the British people in a referendum.”

David Cameron could not have been clearer. Yet he did not “do the right thing.” He broke his cast-iron guarantee promise of a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty.

The claim that the treaty was ratified just before he became PM and therefore he could not hold a referendum simply does not wash in the light of his exact words set out above.  The UK referendum of 1975 is a precedent on this, as it was a post-legislative referendum held to gauge support for the country’s continued membership of the European Economic Community (EEC), which we had already entered in 1973 under the pro EEC Conservative government of Edward Heath.

Labour, the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats all promised a referendum on whether to ratify the EU Constitution in their 2005 general election manifestos. They all knew without a shadow of a doubt that this matter needed to be resolved by the British people in a referendum. But all have since been in office and all have failed to deliver. As my wife often tells me, if someone shows you what they are like – believe them.

As to David Cameron’s first paragraph in his cast-iron guarantee statement, could there possibly be a more blatant case of “pot, kettle, black”?

Pro EU Cameron and his pro EU Conservative Party cannot be trusted on their pledge of a referendum in 2017. None of the three main pro EU parties can be trusted. The Lib/Lab/Con parties are infatuated with the EU. No matter what they have promised the British electorate, they are not going to give the British a vote on the EU if they think they are going to lose. And they are pretty sure they will lose.

In the meantime, at the end of this month, on the same day our borders are fully opened to the 29 million citizens of Romania and Bulgaria, a further major loss of British sovereignty will occur under this Lisbon Treaty that Cameron has denied us a vote on.

From 1st January, the monstrously costly European Union bureaucracy will see an end to a requirement of unanimity on decisions by the Council of Ministers to be replaced by a new system of ‘qualified majority voting’ in almost every policy area outside taxation and foreign policy. Britain will now always be bound by a continental majority. The populations of Germany, France, Italy and Spain are such, that under the new system these four alone already will always have over 50% of the vote and Britain is further destined to be in a permanent statistical minority.

The three main pro EU Lib/Lab/Con parties are all the same, save the odd pedantic point here and a load of rhetoric there. They offer the electorate no choice, it doesn’t matter which gets in. But now the electorate does have a choice – increasingly when they vote UKIP, they are actually getting UKIP. Starting with the European elections in 2014, every election will give them a referendum to say a clear “NO” to the EU. We must be ready to build on that momentum in the run up to the General Election and make 2015 a “Night of the Long Purple UKIP Knives.” It will be a bloodless revolution, but we must get our message across clear and wide and take as many scalps as we can.

How Much Does the European Union Cost Britain?

Distinguished economist, Professor Tim Congdon CBE, recently published the 2013 edition of “How Much Does the European Union Cost Britain?

This is a substantial analysis of the affects our membership of the EU and the effect it has on the British economy.

The headline figure is that the UK is roughly 11% of GDP – about £165 billion to £170 billion – worse-off every year because it is a member of the EU.  For non-economists, GDP means the same thing as ‘the UK’s national output’ or ‘what we produce as a nation’.  A ‘billion pounds’ is ‘a thousand million pounds’ (using short scale definition).

In 2012 the UK had 26.8 million households. So the total cost of EU membership to the average household was over £6,000 a year. (Yes, seriously.)

An influential economist Professor Congdon was, between 1993 and 1997, a member of the Treasury Panel of Independent Forecasters that advised the Conservative government on economic policy, sometimes referred to as the “wise men”.

For full details, the document can be read on this link:

How Much Does the European Union Cost Britain?

Happy reading!

Much Too Little, Far Too Late

This week’s headlines on immigration and fuel prices smack of panic from the coalition Government.

Firstly, with under 5 weeks to go until the UK extends its open border to the 29 million citizens of Romania and Bulgaria on 1st January 2014, David Cameron has announced a three month restriction before new migrants can qualify for out-of-work benefits. However, the three-month delay on claiming out-of-work benefits will not be in place by then, because it requires legislation. Clearly a case of too little, too late.

In any case, it does not address the real issues: the sheer scale of the numbers involved, with total unrestricted access to the UK. The government refuses to answer the constant questioning to establish how many they think will come. There is no planning and no infrastructure. But there will be more pressure on the health service where it is becoming increasingly difficult to get a doctor’s appointment. More pressure on housing, pushing up house prices and rents, as is already happening. More pressure on school places, some are already full.  More pressure on lower paid jobs – we already have 1 million unemployed young people. And after 12 weeks residence, new European Union (EU) migrants would naturally be entitled to unemployment benefits in any case.

Why such a last minute knee-jerk reaction? The issue was known before Cameron became PM. After all, Romania and Bulgaria joined the EU in 2007.

EU law makes the government completely powerless to stop thousands of Romanians and Bulgarians flocking to the UK. It is one of the fundamental legal requirements of the EU – a single EU market with the free movement of citizens. The only way for the UK to control its borders is to leave the EU.

UKIP is the only mainstream political party that will give us control of our own country and take us out of the European Union.  The Lib/Lab/Con parties have all promised referendum on the EU over the last 10 years and all have failed to deliver on their promises once elected to power, because they know they would lose the argument and the people of the UK would say ‘no’. UKIP also calls for an end to the age of mass, uncontrolled immigration. Since 1997 immigration has added almost four million new people to the British population; this figure does not include illegal immigrants, the exact number of which is unknown, but is probably at least one million and possibly much higher.

On energy bills, this weekend, the government announced that the government (the taxpayer) would pay for some measures currently included in people’s bills, and the cost of insulating homes would be spread over a longer period and certain social commitments will be taken on by the taxpayer. It is estimated to reduce energy bills by an average of £50 a year.  But they are already increasing much more than that. This largely affects the insulation industry, and social measures.

The real ‘green price hike’ issue, the ‘Renewables Obligation’ as required under our EU membership to pay inflated prices for wind farms remains unaffected, and increases annually. So prices will not fall, even in the short term. Over the course of the year they will rise a little less – around £70 instead of the average £120, and they will continue to go up year-on-year.

How to Abolish Fuel Poverty

(the Cameron Way) 

A household is in fuel poverty when they cannot afford to keep adequately warm at reasonable cost, given their income.  In the UK this has been considered to be when a household would need to spend more than 10% of its income to maintain an adequate level of warmth in the home.

Recently, the numbers falling into fuel poverty has been spiralling out of control.   In April 2011 it was estimated in a YouGov survey that the number of households in fuel poverty had risen to a staggering 6.3 million households.  Fuel costs have been going up ever since, and the problem has undoubtedly been increasing.

So how did David Cameron’s Coalition government deal with this growing problem?  Easy: re-write the definition of fuel poverty.  The Lib Con Coalition Government commissioned a 2012 report, resulting in a new more complex definition of fuel poverty, that now only a few specialist experts understand.  Problem solved.  No longer falling into their altered definition, but consumers remain just as poor.

The Government has been fanatically committed to adding to the burden on British households’ already excessive fuel costs, with the ever increasing numbers of so-called ‘green’ wind turbines blotting our landscape.  These can benefit from eye-watering subsidies both by the taxpayer on the actual turbines and by consumers through their bills, as utility companies are required to pay crazy prices for expensive ‘green’ energy.  Then there is the issue of “capacity payments” for back-up when the wind doesn’t blow. It’s not economic to run gas power stations intermittently, so we also have to subsidise them to do so.

“Vote Blue Go Green” claimed chameleon P.M. David Cameron, under whom Tory priorities in this parliament seems to have been gay marriage, wind farms and foreign aid.

UKIP holds all three of the ‘governing‘ parties of the past 20 years responsible for the catastrophic state of the UK’s energy strategy, which will see severe energy shortages, soaring prices, brownouts and energy rationing from 2015 onwards.

UKIP’s policy paper Keeping the Lights On can be found here:

http://www.ukipmeps.org/uploads/file/energy-policy-2014-f-20-09-2013.pdf

Does Voting UKIP Let in Labour?

The other main parties are running scared of UKIP.  Around the south and in areas where they are strongest, the Tories claim “Vote UKIP and you will let Labour in” or “Vote UKIP and the Liberals will get in.”  Yet, in the Labour heartlands further north it is a different version of the same theme “Vote UKIP and you will let the Tories in!”  But, what is the truth?

Increasingly around the country people are finding that if they vote UKIP, more and more, they are getting UKIP.  2013 has seen a significant breakthrough.  Not just in the headlines in county seats where we have come top of the polls, but also in the underlying trend in literally hundreds of local council and by election seats where UKIP has come second, becoming the main challenger, even from a standing start where we have never fielded a candidate before.

This breakthrough has been repeated in four out of the five Westminster by-elections in the last 12 months – Middlesbrough, Rotherham and South Shields against Labour in the north, as well as Eastleigh against the Liberal Democrats where UKIP attracted 11,571 votes (swing of 19.3% from Lib Dem to UKIP.)

Lord Ashcroft, the former Conservative Treasurer and bankroller ran an interesting detailed poll on the day of the Eastleigh by election to establish who voted for who and why.  He discovered what UKIP canvassers already knew – that UKIP are attracting voters from across the spectrum.  Ashcroft discovered that roughly a fifth (22%) of those who had voted Tory at the last General Election voted UKIP in the by election.  This was matched by a fifth (19%) of 2010 Liberal Democrats voting UKIP and a similar 17% of Labour voters also moving to vote UKIP.  In addition, a further 11% were engaging for the first time by voting UKIP, having not voted for any of the old political parties at the General Election.

We approach the European Parliamentary Elections next May with a momentum already rolling for UKIP to top the poll.  We need to keep that momentum rolling by building on our cumulative successes to ultimately get our first batch of MP’s into Westminster.

The other parties have reason to be scared, as they also closely analyse real election results, which increasingly confirm the message “Vote UKIP and you will get UKIP.”

Immigration

David Cameron’s pledge to cap net immigration down to “tens of thousands” rather than “hundreds of thousands” to ensure public services did not become overwhelmed was, from day one, doomed to total failure.  Under his watch, the number of people migrating into the UK has been running at around 500,000 a year.

In reality, it is a hollow pledge as the British Government has no control whilst it remains a member of the European Union (EU.)  The EU require Britain to open its borders to all citizens of the EU and, on 1st January 2014, this extends further to the citizens of Romania and Bulgaria.

We must end open door immigration from the EU and this can only be achieved by leaving the EU.  Similar to Canada, New Zealand and Australia, we should run a firm, but fair points based system to admit manageable numbers of people who have something to offer our country.

Find out more about our Policies for People HERE.

North Dorset UKIP choose Steve Unwin

UKIP members in North Dorset selected former Tory Agent, Steve Unwin, at Pimperne Village Hall last night (Monday 4 November) as their Prospective Parliamentary Candidate to challenge Bob Walter’s seat at the next General Election.

The Dorset North UKIP Constituency Chairman, John Baxter, who had chaired the hustings said “I am delighted to have a PPC of the calibre of Steve Unwin. His
enthusiasm is infectious, his knowledge vast, and his actions are already
paying dividends in terms of new members and supporters, invigorating our
growing association. Steve will be a super candidate and will bring a blast
of fresh air and commonsense to the Dorset North political scene.”

Steve was a full-time professional Conservative Party Agent for 17 years in Oxford West & Abingdon and North Dorset.  He has considerable campaign experience and has acted as Election Agent to both John Patten (the former Secretary of State for Education, now the Baron Patten of Wincanton) in the 1987 and 1992 General Elections and for Bob Walter in the 1997 and 2001 General Elections, as well as for over 250 local government candidates.

After 10 years absence from the Conservative Party, Steve joined UKIP and has been actively campaigning every week recruiting helpers for the party.  “The day David Cameron declared that in 2017 he would have a referendum on EU membership was the day I joined UKIP,” says Steve.

“It was weasel words: he would renegotiate with the EU but there was no mention of what he wanted to renegotiate, and in spite of what was or was not agreed, he would ‘campaign rigorously’ for Britain to remain in the EU.  He had already broken his 2007 promise of a “cast iron guarantee” of an EU referendum if he became PM, and clearly does not want out, in any circumstances.  Cameron has worked very hard to put off traditional supporters, but that was the final tipping-point for me to now work hard to get him out.”

Steve has lived in Shaftesbury town centre for 19 years.  He married Jane in Motcombe near Shaftesbury, in 1996, and for 10 years they have run an internet vintage book selling business.  They have one daughter who attends the local Shaftesbury School.

UKIP will be targeting North Dorset which is currently represented by Bob Walter, a former Chairman and current Patron of the federalist Conservative Europe Group.

Find out more about our Policies for People HERE.

UKIP Supporter and Prospective Parliamentary Candidate for North Dorset